How Could Bitcoin React as Billionaire Paul Tudor Warns of New Market Lows Even if Trump Cuts China Tariffs by 50%?

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones is sounding the alarm on U.S. equity markets, with potential implications for Bitcoin and the broader crypto sector. In a recent CNBC interview , he warned that stock markets could fall to new lows even if President Trump reduces China tariffs by 50%. With traditional markets facing headwinds, many investors wonder if Bitcoin could benefit as a haven. Paul Tudor Jones Sees Pain Ahead for Equities Last month, global financial markets felt the impact of the U.S.–China trade war. The U.S. stock market reportedly lost $10 trillion just days after Trump's announcement. Meanwhile, global data on corporate market capitalization shows that overall valuations dropped to $100 trillion on April 7, down from $113 trillion two weeks earlier. The crypto market was not immune—Bitcoin fell to a five-month low of $74,000. However, a relief announcement by Trump reversed the downturn, and markets have since rebounded significantly. Bitcoin has recovered to $97,000, while global corporate valuations have risen to $111 trillion. Still, financial commentators like Jones believe the danger is far from over. During the interview, Jones pointed to two key market pressures: persistent tariffs on Chinese imports and a Federal Reserve reluctant to cut interest rates. Even if Trump reduces China tariffs to 50% or 40%, Jones believes it won’t be enough to reverse market weakness. “These tariffs are like a massive tax increase,” Jones said, estimating they could shave 2–3% off U.S. GDP growth. He further noted that unless the Fed becomes "really, really dovish," markets are likely heading to new lows. Only then, he argues, will both the Fed and the White House reconsider shifting policy in a meaningful way. Risk-Off Environment Could Favor Bitcoin If equity markets plunge as Jones predicts, capital could flee to alternative assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and cash. Indeed, gold rallied during the April crisis, reaching new all-time highs. Meanwhile, Bitcoin did not escape the sell-off. While its price crashed alongside U.S. stocks, it has since fully recovered and outperformed traditional assets as panic subsided. Notably, Bitcoin’s initial correlation with equities sparked concerns. However, industry leaders explained that the situation was temporary and largely due to Bitcoin’s robust liquidity and 24/7 availability, unlike stocks. They noted that, over the long term, Bitcoin is not correlated with traditional markets. Notably, Jones himself is a Bitcoin bull who has called it a strong hedge against inflation and monetary debasement. His current bearish outlook on stocks raises the possibility that investors like him could shift more capital into crypto if traditional assets continue to underperform. Essentially, while the stock market appears poised for turbulence, Bitcoin may stand to benefit as a hedge. https://twitter.com/saylor/status/1908210089292419356