BTC继续暴涨冲破37000美金，狂欢下1-2周内恐将回调

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">长周期评级：增持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">短周期评级:<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""> <spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">比特币减持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">小市值加密货币增持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">观点1<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">.<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">蓝色浪潮席卷美国，比特币受利好推动再创新高：<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">美国A<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">DP<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">就业数据大幅不及预计，下降1<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">2.3<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">万人，低于预期的增加7<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">.5<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">万人，结束连续7个月的增长，美联储昨夜会议纪要表示将会维持当前的购债速度，保证市场的“非常显著”的宽松货币环境。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">昨日我们提醒投资人关注美国参议院选举结果，如果民主党获得全部两个席位则会推动比特币上涨。根据媒体数据，民主党候选人在北京时间1月<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">6<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">日凌晨确认获得全部两个席位，这意味着民主党将会同时控制众议院、参议院和白宫，投资人可以预期更大规模的刺激法案。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">受消息影响，比特币延续强势上涨态势，突破3<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">7000<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">美金。我们重申比特币的上涨幅度过大，持续时间过长，需要周线级别的调整，否则将会破坏长期牛市的趋势。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">基于比特币的历史价格，当比特币牛市通常在L<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">OG MACD<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">遭遇0<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">.123<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">时进行较大回调，而每当比特币选择不再该级别回调，则会进入牛市最后的冲顶阶段。在上图中可以看到，比特币历史上4次<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">LOG MACD<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">突破0<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">.123<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">后，行情进入最后的疯牛阶段，随后很快见顶，并且在接下来的几个月开始下跌行情。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">我们认为本轮比特币的牛市将会最少持续到2<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">021<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">年底，在当前的位置直接进入疯牛阶段不符合牛市的时间周期，我们保持比特币需要在本周或下周进行回调的判断不变。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">我们昨日提醒投资人小市值加密货币迎来新的周期，我们有理由认为在本次小市值上涨周期内，大部分的龙头小市值项目都会创下新高，希望投资人可以抓住机会。我们提醒投资人，可以将交易账户中的比特币换仓为小市值货币，以享受其上涨红利。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">通常小市值货币的繁荣对应的是比特币的阶段性顶部，投资人在享受<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">暴涨<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">狂欢的同时要谨慎观察比特币走势，避免损失利润。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>