13:02
Payment infrastructure startup Fun has raised $72 million in Series A funding, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire.
Huoxun Finance reports that payment infrastructure startup Fun has announced the completion of a $72 million Series A funding round, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from Infinity Ventures, Pharsalus Capital, and Tinder co-founder Justin Mateen. Fun primarily provides cryptocurrency and fiat currency deposit and withdrawal infrastructure for platforms such as Polymarket, Lighter, and Aave, processing over $18 billion in payments annually. The company plans to use the new funding to expand its existing team of approximately 30 people.
13:02
Fun has raised $72 million in Series A funding, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire.
Huoxun Finance reports that payment infrastructure startup Fun has announced the completion of a $72 million Series A funding round, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from Infinity Ventures, Pharsalus Capital, and Tinder co-founder Justin Mateen. Fun primarily provides cryptocurrency and fiat currency deposit and withdrawal infrastructure to platforms such as Polymarket, Lighter, and Aave, processing over $18 billion in payments annually. The company plans to use the new funding to expand its existing team of approximately 30 people.
12:40
Payment infrastructure company Fun has raised $72 million in Series A funding, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that Web3 payment infrastructure startup Fun has announced the completion of a $72 million Series A funding round, led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from Infinity Ventures, Pharsalus Capital, and Tinder co-founder Justin Mateen, among others. This round was completed in late January. The company previously raised $3.9 million in a seed round in 2022. Fun's main business is providing payment tracks for developers, enabling users to directly exchange crypto assets for fiat currencies such as the US dollar without using centralized exchanges or traditional banks. Currently, the project provides deposit infrastructure for prediction market Polymarket, crypto derivatives platform Lighter, and lending app Aave, processing over $18 billion in payments annually. The new funds will be used to expand its team of approximately 30 people. (Fortune)
04:57
Polymarket has a new listing for "When will Epstein's suicide note be released?"
Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction market, "When will Epstein's will be released?". The market's settlement rules state that if any letter or written message written by Jeffrey Epstein and intended as a will is publicly disclosed before the deadline of 11:59 PM ET, the prediction market result will be "Yes"; otherwise, it will be "No." A will that meets the criteria must be credibly reported as being handwritten by Jeffrey Epstein and must be a will, a dying wish, or a written statement of equivalent nature. Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
01:25
An account with a loss of approximately $1.5 million purchased $100,000 worth of NBA Western Conference First Round Game 6, in which the Nuggets defeated the Timberwolves.
According to Odaily Seer, an account (address: 0x26437896ed9dfeb2f69765edcafe8fdceaab39ae) that lost approximately $1.5 million in the Polymarket prediction event for "NBA Western Conference First Round Game 6: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets," purchased $100,000 worth of bets on the Nuggets defeating the Timberwolves 50 minutes before the game started, with an average opening price of 73¢. Game 6 of the NBA Western Conference First Round, between the Timberwolves and Nuggets, will tip off at 9:30 AM Beijing time today. The Timberwolves currently lead the series 3-2. Timberwolves' star player Edwards is out with a knee injury, Ayo Dorsham will miss the game due to a calf injury, and DiVincenzo is out for the season with a torn right Achilles tendon. For the Nuggets, Aaron Gordon will also miss the game due to left calf muscle tension, and Payton Watson will miss the game with a right hamstring strain. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.
21:47
The US Senate has banned members of Congress from participating in prediction market trading.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that the U.S. Senate unanimously passed a resolution (S. Res. 708) banning senators from participating in prediction market trading, effective immediately. The proposal, introduced by Bernie Moreno, aims to curb speculative trading using non-public information. Recent incidents have drawn regulatory attention, including cases of individuals profiting from confidential information in prediction markets. Meanwhile, platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are strengthening internal controls to prevent insider trading. At the state level, New York and Illinois have also implemented similar measures to restrict public officials from using non-public information to participate in prediction markets.
15:27
Polymarket hires Chainalysis to bring Wall Street-level regulation to the crypto prediction market.
Huoxun Finance reports that prediction market platform Polymarket has partnered with blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis to monitor trading activity and enforce market rules, addressing concerns about insider trading and market integrity. Announced on Thursday, the two companies will provide investigative software and on-chain monitoring systems to identify suspicious activity. Chainalysis's models can detect patterns matching "trading using non-public information." This collaboration comes against the backdrop of increased regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets. Some argue that platforms like Polymarket may be susceptible to influence from insiders (such as political workers or corporate employees) who could exploit informational advantages to trade before it is publicly available. While traditional financial markets explicitly prohibit and strictly regulate such behavior, the regulatory boundaries for crypto prediction markets remain unclear. By leveraging the end-to-end traceability of blockchain transactions and combining it with Chainalysis's data tools, Polymarket aims to detect suspicious transactions in real time and submit evidence to regulators when necessary, thereby enhancing market transparency and compliance.
13:40
Polymarket launches on-chain market integrity monitoring system to combat insider trading
According to Huoxun Finance, Polymarket announced the launch of an on-chain market integrity monitoring system to monitor trading activity and enforce market compliance rules on the platform. Built in partnership with blockchain data analytics company Chainalysis, the system covers its entire DeFi trading process, including real-time on-chain analysis of trading, holding, and settlement data. It uses a multi-layered monitoring mechanism to identify potential violations, with a focus on insider trading and market manipulation. Polymarket stated that all its transactions are completed on a public blockchain, and this collaboration will further enhance its on-chain transparency, providing regulators and law enforcement with verifiable on-chain evidence, thereby establishing new compliance standards in the prediction market field. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan stated that the platform has emphasized transparency and traceability from its inception, and this collaboration will solidify its position as a trusted source of market information.
13:26
Polymarket's probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 basis points in 2026" rises to 58%, up 9% in the last 24 hours.
According to Odaily Seer, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in 2026 has risen to 58% on Polymarket, a 9% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for the "How many times will the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points in 2026" prediction event has approached $22 million. The contract rules are as follows: settlement is based on the actual number of 25 basis point rate cuts by the Fed in 2026 (including any rate cuts at the December meeting). If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points after a single meeting, it will be considered two rate cuts (25 basis points each). Emergency rate cuts outside of regular FOMC meetings will also be counted in the total number of rate cuts in 2026. The market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If the specified number of rate cuts is not achieved, the market will settle early as "No". Following the release of US economic data today, US interest rate futures data shows a slight increase in market expectations for a Fed rate hike before the end of 2026. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
12:27
Report: Polymarket may have a wider insider trading problem, with a few wallets reaping the majority of profits.
According to a recent report by a non-profit research firm, the prediction market platform Polymarket may be involved in a wider range of insider trading issues than the previous "Green Beret bet on the Venezuelan attack." The study analyzed 435,000 markets settled between January 2021 and mid-March 2026, totaling $54.4 billion in trading volume. It found an unusually high success rate for low-probability bets in government decision-making markets related to military and defense. Specifically, the average success rate for these "niche bets" in political markets was approximately 14%, while some military-related contracts had success rates exceeding 50%. The study argues that these markets are difficult to predict using only publicly available information and are more susceptible to information asymmetry, including insider trading or the advantage of professional information. The report also points out that Polymarket's profits are highly concentrated, with approximately 3% of traders contributing the majority of price discovery on the platform, and less than 1% of wallets capturing about half of the profits. Taking the June 2025 US airstrike on Iran as an example, hours before the attack, 19 low-probability bets totaling $164,000 were concentrated on buying the eventually cashed-out "YES" contract. Eight wallets collectively profited approximately $1.8 million, with a single wallet profiting nearly $500,000. Although the Pentagon deliberately concealed the operation using decoy bombers and long-range stealth aircraft, a few traders still accurately predicted the outcome. The report recommends that Polymarket strengthen identity verification, implement conditional payouts for suspicious bets, limit markets where the outcome is determined by a few, and reduce overly granular contract designs. It also calls for a broader discussion on whether the public should bet on such events.
10:18
Overview of the TGE timeline for crypto projects in Q2 2026: MegaETH becomes the core anchor of this window of opportunity.
According to data released by Web3 asset data platform RootData, the crypto market has entered a period of intensive TGE releases in the second quarter of 2026, with market risk appetite and liquidity activity rebounding simultaneously. MegaETH has become a key anchor in this window of opportunity. Positioned as an EVM L2 with "ultra-high performance real-time execution" capabilities, it officially launched its TGE on April 30th after securing $30 million in funding, and was subsequently listed on leading exchanges such as Coinbase, Upbit, and Bithumb on the same day. According to RootData's "Upcoming Releases" section, TGEs are showing a short-term concentrated surge: Gensyn completed its TGE on April 29th, MegaETH and Real Finance simultaneously launched theirs on April 30th, Kuvi launched on May 1st, and Avant is expected to advance its TGE in the latter half of the second quarter. Polymarket data also shows forward-looking signals, suggesting a potential peak in issuance before June. Dreamcash (64%), Arc (46%), and Oro (40%) are in the leading group and may become the core of the next round of liquidity competition. Overall, this round of Q2 TGE is not a confirmation signal of the market trend, but rather the starting point of liquidity redistribution. The subsequent market strength will depend on the ability to absorb new supply and the degree to which project fundamentals support valuations.
08:01
The probability of Polymarket's "Printr public offering raising over $3 million" has fallen to 15%, a drop of over 80% within the day.
According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Printr raising over $3 million in its public sale on Polymarket has dropped to 15%, a decrease of over 80% within the day, with a trading volume of nearly $4.4 million. This market settles accounts based on whether the total subscription amount raised by Printr on the Sonar platform exceeds a set threshold; if it does, it's considered "yes," otherwise "no." Settlement data comes from Printr's official fundraising page. If the final subscription amount cannot be confirmed by May 31, 2026, or if relevant information is unavailable, the market will be considered "no." Furthermore, if the fundraising period is extended, the subscription amount during the extended period will also be included in the statistics. Previous news: Printr's founder announced a full refund of community fundraising funds. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
05:44
Polymarket has updated its May crude oil price forecast, which differs from the June forecast and is based on the closing price one minute in advance.
Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket has released new May price forecasts for WTI crude oil, including multiple levels ranging from $20 to $150. The settlement rule is that if the highest closing price of any 1-minute candlestick chart for the near-month WTI crude oil futures contract reaches or exceeds the predicted price, the market settlement result is "Yes". The June settlement rule requires the settlement price on the trading day to be higher than the predicted price for it to be considered "Yes". Odaily Seer continuously monitors the forecast market, seeing changes before pricing.
02:39
Polymarket's trading volume reached $25.7 billion in March, driven by retail users.
According to a joint report by Bitget Wallet and Polymarket, Polymarket's transaction volume reached $25.7 billion in March. Based on research of 1.29 million active wallets in Q1 2026, 82.3% of users traded less than $10,000, indicating that the platform's users are primarily retail users. User activity days increased from 2.5 days to 9.9 days, and the average number of trading categories per user increased from 1.45 to 2.34. Sports became the largest category in Q1, with a transaction volume of $10.1 billion; the political category had a transaction volume of $5 billion, of which geopolitical related items accounted for $2.41 billion; the crypto category accounted for approximately 40% of early user activity, making it a major entry point. The report defines this trend as a behavior-driven rather than capital-driven change, with users returning more frequently and switching between multiple categories. The industry projects annual transaction volume to reach $240 billion by the end of 2026, with a long-term target of $1 trillion.
02:05
Bloomberg: Hyperliquid plans to launch a prediction market feature, currently in public beta testing.
According to Huoxun Finance, Hyperliquid is proposing to launch a prediction market feature on its platform, competing with Kalshi and Polymarket. The proposal, numbered HIP-4, is currently in public testing, allowing users to place bets on the outcomes of real-world events. Hyperliquid is one of the most active trading venues in the digital asset space, and the speed and scale of its product expansion has attracted attention from Wall Street.
02:01
Data: Polymarket TVL surpasses $530 million, setting a new all-time high.
According to Huoxun Finance, DefiLlama data shows that Polymarket's total value locked (TVL) has surpassed $530 million, reaching a record high of $537 million. Meanwhile, the platform's transaction fee revenue over the past seven days exceeded $8 million.
01:48
Polymarket TVL surpasses $530 million, setting a new record.
According to DefiLlama data, Polymarket TVL has surpassed $530 million, reaching $5.37 billion, a record high. Furthermore, the platform's transaction fee revenue over the past seven days exceeded $8 million.
01:17
Polymarket's probability of Powell stepping down from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has dropped to 9%, a 25% decrease in the past 24 hours.
According to data from Polymarket, the probability of Jerome Powell stepping down as a Federal Reserve Governor before May 30th has fallen to 9%, a 25% decrease from 24 hours ago; the probability of him stepping down before December 31st has dropped to 66%, an 11% decrease from 24 hours ago. The forecast contract's rules state: if Fed Chairman Powell ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors at any time before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on that day, the result is "yes"; otherwise, it is "no." Even if he retains his position as a Governor, he does not meet the "yes" condition. The determination is based on official information from the US government, but consensus formed from credible reports can also be used. At a press conference this morning, Powell stated that he would continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Governor "for some time" after stepping down as Chairman and promised to "keep a low profile." US Treasury Secretary Bessant responded that it would be unusual for Powell to remain a Governor, and for someone who consistently emphasizes norms, such a unilateral decision contradicts traditional practices. Polymarket continuously tracks such dynamics through forecasting markets and reflects changes before pricing them in.
01:11
Polymarket's probability that Powell will step down from his position as a Federal Reserve governor before May 30 has dropped to 9%, a 25% decrease in the past 24 hours.
According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of Powell stepping down from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before May 30th has plummeted on Polymarket, now down to 9%, a 25% drop in 24 hours; the probability of Powell stepping down from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before December 31st has fallen to 66%, an 11% drop in 24 hours. The contract rules for this event are: if Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors at any time during the specified period (11:59 PM Eastern Time), it will be judged as "yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "no". If Powell ceases to be Federal Reserve Chairman but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the "yes" condition is not met. The judgment is based on information released by the US government, but consensus from credible reports can also be used as a basis. At a press conference this morning, Powell stated that he would continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Governor "for some time" after stepping down as Chairman and pledged to "keep a low profile." U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant responded, "It would be extraordinary if Powell remained a Federal Reserve Governor; for someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision would go against tradition." Odaily Seer continues to focus on predicting the market, seeing changes before pricing them in.
01:00
An account with over $1.7 million in profits purchased $300,000 worth of NBA Western Conference First Round Game 5, in which the Rockets defeated the Lakers.
According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in Polymarket's "NBA Western Conference First Round Game 5 Rockets vs. Lakers" prediction event, an account with a profit exceeding $1.7 million (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3) purchased $300,000 worth of bets on the Rockets defeating the Lakers. The average opening price was 39.9¢, and the current price is 40.5¢, resulting in a floating loss of approximately $46 million. The Rockets lead the series 1-3 against the Lakers in the NBA Western Conference First Round. Game 5 will be played at 10:00 AM Beijing time today. It has been reported that Lakers star Luka Doncic will miss the initial stages of the second round, and his return timeline remains unclear. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are priced in.
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