Odaily Planet Daily reported on June 11th that Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Knicks and Spurs has concluded, with the Knicks narrowly defeating the Spurs 107-106, taking a 3-1 lead in the series and securing a championship point. With this game settled, the focus of the prediction market has shifted to the upcoming Game 5. Game 5 will officially begin on June 14th at 08:30 (UTC+8). According to the latest data from Gate.com's prediction market, the Spurs have approximately a 65% chance of winning Game 5, while the Knicks have approximately a 36% chance. Furthermore, Gate.com is launching the "Green Field Prophet, World Cup Prediction Carnival" event from June 4th to July 21st, covering all 104 matches of the 2026 World Cup, with a total prize pool exceeding 500,000 USDT. Users can participate in various activities including match predictions, champion predictions, trading tasks, points rankings, and community interaction. The first match, Mexico vs. South Africa, will officially kick off on June 12th. Gate's prediction market shows Mexico as the favorite with a 69% probability. As the first CEX platform to integrate with Polymarket, Gate maintains a leading position among Polymarket's partner channels, ranking second with a single-day trading volume of $5.8 million on June 10th. Users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the platform's homepage alpha, and participating in event predictions using USDT from their exchange accounts. Gate is continuously expanding its influence in the prediction market field, providing users with a diversified market experience from prediction to trading participation.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event "CS2 IEM Cologne 2026 BB vs MGLZ", a "smart money" account (address: 0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f) with a profit exceeding $29,000 purchased $100,000 worth of shares in favor of BB to defeat MGLZ. The average opening price was 49.7¢, resulting in a floating profit of $1,643. BetBoom has been in excellent form recently, defeating Monte, M80, and GamerLegion in Stage 2 to advance, and also defeated Liquid in this tournament. MGLZ is a traditionally strong team in Asia, possessing core players such as 910 and bLitz, as well as rich Major tournament experience. Although their performance fluctuated in May, they still demonstrated the ability to defeat strong teams like Liquid. Based on recent form, BetBoom has a slight advantage; however, in a best-of-three format, map depth, key players' performance under pressure, and tactical adjustments will be crucial factors in determining the outcome. The winner of this match will advance to the knockout stage, while the loser faces elimination. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that in Game 4 of the NBA Finals, the New York Knicks staged a stunning 29-point comeback to defeat the San Antonio Spurs, extending their series lead to 3-1 and putting them just one win away from the championship. During the game, Polymarket once showed the Spurs with a 95% chance of winning Game 4, but the Knicks subsequently rallied to secure the crucial victory and take a 3-1 lead in the Finals.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event for "NBA Finals Game 4: Spurs vs. Knicks," a "smart money" account (address: 0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563) with profits exceeding $2 million purchased $220,000 worth of shares betting on the Spurs defeating the Knicks. The average opening price was 45¢, resulting in a floating profit of $7,300. Game 4 of the NBA Finals between the Spurs and Knicks will tip off at 8:30 AM Beijing time today, with the Knicks playing at home. Currently, the Knicks lead the Finals 2-1. Furthermore, only five teams in NBA Finals history have come back from a 0-2 deficit to win. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before prices are set.

According to Odaily Seer, with one day to go before the World Cup opening match on June 12th, the probability of a European country winning the World Cup is 72% on Polymarket, ranking first; South American countries have a 22% probability, ranking second; and African, Asian, and North American countries are all tied for third with a 3% probability each. The rules for this event are: the continent of the country that wins the 2026 World Cup, for example, if France wins, it will be considered "European". If the 2026 World Cup is canceled, postponed to after December 31, 2026, or no official champion is determined before December 31, 2026, it will be considered "Other," and the final determination of the continent will be based on relevant information from the World Population Review. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, a smart money account (0xc6a71cad90060abc0c1ff8ebd6f6a8fc02ed504e) purchased 300,000 shares of each of France, Spain, England, and Argentina as winners in a Polymarket "2026 World Cup Winners" prediction event, spending over $150,000 in total. The 2026 FIFA World Cup will officially open on June 11th at the Azteca Stadium in Mexico City. Co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, this is the first World Cup to be jointly hosted by three countries and the first to expand to 48 teams and 104 matches. The final will be held on July 19th at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, USA. The competition is fierce, with favorites including Spain, France, England, and defending champions Argentina. Traditional powerhouses like Brazil and Portugal also possess strong competitiveness. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket has added a new prediction event: whether SpaceX (stock code: SPCX) will open at or above its first-day closing price on its second trading day on Nasdaq (i.e., a higher opening price on the second day). SpaceX officially filed its S-1 prospectus on May 20th and plans to officially list on Nasdaq on June 12th (Beijing time). This IPO is breaking with tradition by issuing shares at a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and valuing the company at a staggering $1.75 trillion. Market sentiment is divided: those bullish on a higher opening price the following day are primarily supported by Starlink's strong revenue growth and the anticipated potential for space-based data centers and computing power from its merger with xAI (now SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, those cautiously establishing short positions are mainly concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 90, the substantial losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on initial stock price volatility. Odaily Seer continues to monitor and predict the market, anticipating changes before pricing.

According to a recent CNBC report, Kalshi's perpetual contracts surpassed $1 billion in trading volume within a week of their launch. John Wang, head of Kalshi's crypto division, subsequently posted on the X platform, stating, "Kalshi Perps reached $1 billion in trading volume within a week of its launch, and this product has not even been publicly released." He also pointed out that it took the prediction market 3.5 years to reach the same trading volume. Mustafa Aljadery, a member of the Polymarket team, appeared in the comments section to congratulate Kalshi and inquired about the perpetual contract OI (Open Interest) data, seemingly implying that Kalshi was inflating its trading volume. Furthermore, many community members in the comments section expressed skepticism about the data, emphasizing that it might be data from zero-fee or leveraged trading, with some pointing out that Kalshi's OI data is only around $4.5 million.

According to Huoxun Finance, Polymarket's official developer account posted on the X platform that the combo feature will be launched soon, and related feature documentation has been released.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Polymarket's official developer account posted on the X platform that the combo prediction feature will be launched soon, and related documentation introducing the feature is now available.

According to Huoxun Finance, U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren sent a letter to CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, questioning the agency's ability to assume greater regulatory responsibility for crypto and prediction markets. Warren pointed out that the CFTC has reduced its staff by approximately 25% and significantly decreased enforcement activity, suggesting that expanding its responsibilities would be a "disastrous recipe." She criticized the CFTC's handling of cases involving Gemini, Polymarket, and Crypto.com, stating that officials who raised concerns were sidelined. Selig, however, insists that prediction markets and event contracts fall under the CFTC's "exclusive jurisdiction" and has even sued several states attempting to ban prediction market platforms. Warren requested the CFTC to provide records of personnel changes, communications with prediction market companies, and information related to the Clarity Act.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event "CS2 IEM Cologne 2026 B8 vs. BIG", Smart Money (address: 0x52911b9d1d9da4d4783fb3280c0ccd6e73f0d4b6), with a win rate exceeding 58%, purchased $54,000 worth of B8 to defeat BIG, with an average opening price of 55¢. This match was a Stage 2 BO3 showdown between the German team BIG and the Ukrainian team B8. B8 had previously advanced from Stage 1 and won their match against M80 after three overtimes. Their overall performance, map execution, and player performance have been relatively stable recently. BIG, as the home team, had a certain home advantage, but their recent performance has been inconsistent. The two sides will compete on a pool of standard maps including Dust2, Mirage, Inferno, Nuke, Overpass, Ancient, and Anubis, with the winner advancing to the next stage. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction event: "Will US President Trump attend the 2026 World Cup final?". As one of the key promoters of the event's development and preparation, Trump not only chaired the Federal World Cup Task Force but also attended the final draw ceremony at the Kennedy Center late last year. His enthusiasm for major sporting events has been further confirmed recently—just this Monday evening (June 8th), Eastern Time, Trump personally attended Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the New York Knicks and the San Antonio Spurs at Madison Square Garden (MSG), becoming the first US president in history to attend an NBA Finals match while in office. Coupled with his previous attendance at the 2025 Club World Cup final at MetLife Stadium, traders expect this high-profile host head of state to be highly likely to attend the World Cup final on July 19th at the stadium. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, a channel monitoring the NBA Finals, a "Smart Money" account (address: 0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684) profited over $4.3 million in the Polymarket prediction event for "NBA Finals Game 3: Spurs vs. Knicks." This account purchased $820,000 worth of shares betting on the Knicks defeating the Spurs, with an average opening price of $53.4¢ and a floating profit of $670. Currently, the Finals series is 2-0, with the Knicks leading. According to Forbes reporter Mark Medina, due to the Knicks' return to the NBA Finals after 27 years, home game ticket prices have been pushed to extremely high levels. Statistics show that the average ticket price for Game 3 was approximately $7,768, and for Game 4, approximately $7,257. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of Kylian Mbappé winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot on Polymarket is currently 18%, ranking first; Harry Kane's probability is 14%, ranking second; Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi have lower probabilities, currently at 5% and 4% respectively. The contract rules for this event state that the player with the most goals in all competition stages will be the final winner. In case of a tie, the official ranking as determined by FIFA rules will be used; if FIFA announces multiple players, the player with fewer penalty kick goals will be selected; if a tie still exists, the player ranked first in alphabetical order of their surname will be chosen. If the World Cup is cancelled, or if no winner is determined by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on August 2, 2026, the result will be classified as "Other". The final result will be based on the official information released by FIFA, and may also consider market consensus formed by credible media reports if necessary. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace by June 30" on Polymarket has risen to 64%, a 24-hour increase of 52%; in addition, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace by June 15" has risen to 59%, a 24-hour increase of 52%. Airspace closure refers to the closure of all or most of Israel's civilian airspace, flight cancellations, or a complete suspension of commercial aviation, including transit, arrival, and departure of commercial flights. A qualifying closure must apply to flights throughout Israel or to a significant portion of eligible Israeli airspace. Limited flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground groundings, or closures in specific areas do not qualify for a "Yes" rating. A few exceptions within a large-scale closure, such as allowing some pre-approved flights to continue, will not affect the closure's validity. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or other countries outside of Israel are not sufficient grounds for a "Yes" rating. Following the ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran on April 8, Iran launched missiles at Israel again today, two months after its first attack. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is that since the missiles have been launched, they should return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also indicated he would call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and tell him not to retaliate. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.

Huoxun Finance reports that Gate.com has officially launched a World Cup prediction market section, integrating three core modules—schedule, standings, and match predictions—to further enhance the user experience of participating in top-tier sporting events. Users who upgrade their Gate.com app to version v8.22 or later can access the section through the prediction market entry point, viewing group stage matchups, real-time team standings and qualification prospects in one place, and quickly participating in relevant prediction market events. This section uses structured information aggregation to help users easily switch to corresponding prediction event pages while following the match progress. A match calendar function is also launched, displaying all daily match schedules in a timeline format, supporting quick browsing of key events and improving information retrieval efficiency. A one-click subscription to all matches will be added in the future, further optimizing the match tracking experience. As the first CEX platform to integrate with Polymarket, Gate.com maintains a leading position among Polymarket's partner channels, ranking first in single-day trading volume during the NBA Finals on June 6th. Gate will continuously improve its sports prediction market product matrix, and through thematic aggregation and multiple functional upgrades, promote the deep integration of sports event scenarios and the prediction market, and expand more interactive digital participation methods.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Gate Prediction Market has officially launched a World Cup section, integrating three core sections—schedule, standings, and match predictions—to further enhance the user experience of participating in top-tier sporting events. Users who upgrade their Gate App to version v8.22 or later can access the section through the Prediction Market entry point to view group stage matchups, real-time team standings and qualification prospects, and quickly participate in related prediction market events. This section uses structured information aggregation to help users easily switch to corresponding prediction event pages while following the match progress. A match calendar function is also launched, displaying all daily match schedules in a timeline format, supporting quick browsing of key events and improving information retrieval efficiency. A one-click subscription to all matches will be added in the future to further optimize the match tracking experience. As the first CEX platform to integrate with Polymarket, Gate maintains a leading position among Polymarket's partner channels, ranking first in single-day trading volume during the NBA Finals on June 6th. Gate will continue to improve its sports prediction market product matrix, and through thematic aggregation and multiple function upgrades, promote the deep integration of sports event scenarios and prediction markets, and expand more interactive digital participation methods.

According to Odaily Seer, a channel monitoring the market, a "smart money" account (address: 0x59c49a09e5335430833b96d96af9e581b0a9b517) with a win rate exceeding 71% in Polymarket's prediction event "When will the US and Iran formally reach a permanent peace agreement?", purchased $200,000, betting that the US and Iran would formally reach a permanent peace agreement before 11:59 PM ET on June 7, 2026, with an average opening price of 91.4¢. The US and Iran continue indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman. Discussions cover key issues including restrictions on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile program, the resumption of commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of sanctions, and the disposal of highly enriched uranium. Reports indicate that the two sides reached a preliminary consensus in late May on a 60-day memorandum framework for extending the ceasefire and initiating further negotiations. However, US President Trump has instructed the negotiating team not to rush into an agreement, while Iran has stated that significant progress has been made in the negotiations, but a comprehensive agreement is still far off. The two sides have been exchanging proposals recently, while changes in the regional situation have added uncertainty to the negotiations, and the timeline for reaching a permanent solution remains unclear. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows a new prediction event on Polymarket: "Has Zcash's Orchard privacy pool been confirmed to have been exploited?" On June 4th, the Zcash core development team revealed that it had deployed an emergency network upgrade to fix a critical cryptographic vulnerability in the Orchard privacy pool that could allow malicious attackers to create an unlimited number of ZEC tokens out of thin air. Because this vulnerability has the characteristic that "it cannot be cryptographically proven whether it has been exploited in the past," the independent support organization Shielded Labs subsequently proposed on June 5th to deploy a new privacy pool and perform strict "turnstile-accounting" on tokens exiting Orchard during the NU7 upgrade at the end of July to check for counterfeit tokens. According to the settlement rules of this prediction event, if, before December 31, 2026, official sources or mainstream credible media confirm that the vulnerability was effectively attacked on the mainnet before being fixed, the event will be settled as YES. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.