Polymarket predicts there's a 73% probability that SpaceX's valuation could exceed $2 trillion.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, bettors on the prediction website Polymarket predict that SpaceX's market capitalization will almost certainly exceed $1 trillion upon its IPO, with a 73% probability of surpassing $2 trillion. These bets are linked to SpaceX's closing market capitalization on its first day of trading. The company plans to list in June, with an expected target valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion. Furthermore, data from Polymarket shows a 17% probability of its market capitalization exceeding $3 trillion and a 2% probability of exceeding $4 trillion. The prediction website launched betting on SpaceX's market capitalization approximately two weeks ago, but trading in these contracts is currently thin, possibly indicating that outsiders are cautiously optimistic about these probabilities. If SpaceX's market capitalization does indeed exceed $2 trillion, its size will surpass at least two of the seven largest U.S. stocks: Meta Platforms (META.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O), whose current market capitalizations are approximately $1.5 trillion and $1.6 trillion, respectively. (Jinshi)