比特币/以太坊从昨天早盘快速下探后紧接着快速拉升，目前持续横盘震荡，重点关注晚间cpi数据对币圈的影响。如果数据大于预期则通胀偏高，利空币圈整体CPI大于3.6%、核心CPI月率大于0.2%。通胀反弹，市场会下调降息预期，甚至重新计价加息。美元走强、美债收益率上行，资金撤离高波动的加密货币，BTC、ETH容易快速下跌，短期抛压大，波动会急剧放大。
如果cpi数据符合预期，3.6%/核心月率0.2%，中性。市场提前已经计价这个结果，大概率先小幅震荡，快速消化，不会走出单边大行情。盘面更多延续原有趋势，短线会有快速插针来回扫止损。如果数据小于预期则通胀回落，利多币圈。整体CPI小于3.6%，核心CPI低于0.2%。则通胀降温，市场押注美联储更快降息，美债收益率下行，资金流向风险资产。BTC、ETH容易迎来一波反弹拉升，山寨币涨幅会更强。
分析师顾景辞：晚间cpi数据公布、行情需要多加关注
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