特朗普当选或将引爆比特币市场,赔率与预测平台暗示胜算更高
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去中心化预测市场平台Polymarket数据显示,前总统特朗普在2024年美国大选中的获胜概率已攀升至61.8%。据悉,Polymarket通过用户下注来反映市场对各类事件的预期。不同于传统民调,这类平台更关注资金流向和市场情绪的变化,已吸引了超30亿美元的“真金白银”支持,成为分析政治形势的有效参考,同时更具有说服力。目前特朗普的当选赔率为1.57,而哈里斯的为2.5。这些赔率数据反映出全球市场对两位候选人胜出的信心差异,也预示着特朗普大概率当选!
特朗普当选美国总统会对比特币市场产生重要影响,随着特朗普的大概率当选,因为他承诺把比特币作为国家的战略储备,因此过去一周,比特币ETF的净流入已达23亿美元,表明市场对特朗普当选和比特币的看好。他的胜出会给比特币带来很大的推动和强势的利好!
多位资深市场分析师表示:在选举未有结果的时候反而是进场的最好的机会!
市场波动加剧,投资需保持理
性。
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