Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event for the "League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament Group Stage Gen.G vs. LYON," an account with a win rate exceeding 74% bet $100,000 that Gen.G would win, with an opening price of 98.9¢. The League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament is the first international LOL tournament of the year, with 8 teams participating. Gen.G defeated JDG 3-0 in the first round of the group stage; LYON defeated LOUD 3-2 in the first round. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to monitoring by Odaily Seer, data from Polymarket shows that the probability of Kraken's IPO in 2026 has dropped to 29%, a 51% decrease in the past 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $350,000. Kraken has disclosed that it has suspended its IPO plans due to challenging market conditions. Previously, Kraken's parent company filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission last November, outlining its initial public offering of common stock, reportedly valuing the company at $20 billion. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.

Huoxun Finance News, March 19th - According to Bloomberg, prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking to appoint a Chief Risk Officer to expand its regulated business in the United States. This move is in response to a CFTC requirement that Polymarket's U.S. operations must have a Chief Risk Officer for oversight. However, CFTC rules prohibit the listing of certain controversial contracts in the U.S., such as those related to international war, which are still offered in Polymarket's international operations. Prior to seeking a Chief Risk Officer, Polymarket has expanded its legal team in recent months, including hiring several lawyers from firms such as Sullivan & Cromwell, RBC Capital, and Proskauer Rose.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event for the NHL game "St. Louis Blues vs. Calgary Flames Total Goals 5.5," an address with accumulated losses of nearly $9.96 million (address: 0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782) continuously bought over positions. This address invested approximately $187,900 at prices of 53¢, 52¢, and 51¢, purchasing approximately 355,000 shares. Currently, the position is worth approximately $188,400, with a floating profit of approximately $457, corresponding to the latest price of approximately 53¢. This game is an NHL regular season matchup, with both the Blues and Flames in the latter part of the season vying for rankings. The total goals line is 5.5. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Regular Season Lakers vs. Rockets" prediction event, an account with over $1.1 million in profits (address: 0x03e8a544e97eeff5753bc1e90d46e5ef22af1697) bet $150,000 on the Rockets defeating the Lakers, with an opening price of 53.9¢. The NBA regular season game between the Lakers and Rockets will start at 9:30 AM Beijing time this morning. The NBA regular season is currently nearing its end, with the Lakers holding a 43-25 record, ranking 3rd in the Western Conference; the Rockets have a 41-26 record, ranking 4th in the Western Conference. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, Polymarket currently reports an 80% probability that Powell will mention "Inflation" more than 40 times during his March (2:30 AM) press conference. Additionally, the probability of mentioning "Gold/Oil" is currently reported at 93%, and the probability of mentioning "Iran" at 62%. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

Huoxun Finance News, March 18th – Polymarket announced the opening of a physical bar, "The Situation Room," in Washington D.C., positioned as a venue specifically for "monitoring the situation." The bar will feature real-time X-ray feeds, flight/radar screens, a Bloomberg terminal, and a large Polymarket market display, similar to a sports bar focused solely on market data and events. The official opening date is this Friday, offering attendees an immersive experience combining live sports viewing with market predictions.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket announced on its X platform plans to open "The Situation Room," a prediction market-themed bar in Washington, D.C. Polymarket previously launched its first free grocery store in New York.

Huoxun Finance reported on March 18th that, according to Fortune, prediction market platform Polymarket announced its acquisition of Brahma, a startup providing crypto and DeFi infrastructure. The transaction amount was not disclosed. Polymarket plans to leverage Brahma's capabilities in multi-chain infrastructure and DeFi liquidity to strengthen underlying processes such as wallet creation, fund deposits, position conversions, and settlements, further hiding on-chain complexity in the background. The report mentioned that Polymarket's valuation has reached approximately $20 billion. In the future, Brahma will cease providing services to other institutions and individuals, focusing instead on providing infrastructure support to Polymarket. Previously, Polymarket had acquired developer tools startup Dome and executive search firm Lunch.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market Polymarket has announced the acquisition of startup Brahma to expand its cryptocurrency and DeFi infrastructure. The specific acquisition amount was not disclosed. Polymarket expects the acquisition to improve user experience, but this move also indicates that the company, whose valuation has rapidly grown to $20 billion, is doubling down to solidify its cryptocurrency foundation. Polymarket has been using blockchain infrastructure since its inception, while its main competitor, Kalshi, primarily uses fiat currencies. (Fortune)

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event for "League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament Group Stage Round 2: BLG vs. G2," an account with over $230,000 in winnings bet $54,000 on BLG winning, with an opening price of 82¢. The League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament is the first international LOL tournament of 2026, with 8 teams participating. BLG defeated BFX 3-2 in the first round of the group stage and will face G2 (G2 defeated TSW 3-0 in the first round of the group stage) tonight at 9 PM Beijing time. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Lookonchain, a trader created a new wallet and placed a bet of approximately $57,500 on the prediction market Polymarket, betting that "the United States will invade Cuba in 2026," at one point pushing the probability of this event to over 80%. As of now, the bet has a floating loss of approximately $31,000.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of crude oil breaking through $100 per barrel on March 31st is currently 63% on Polymarket, up 43 points in the last 24 hours. Furthermore, data shows: - The probability of crude oil breaking through $105 per barrel on March 31st is currently 42% on Polymarket, down 19 points; - The probability of crude oil breaking through $110 per barrel on March 31st is currently 27% on Polymarket, up 10 points; - The probability of crude oil breaking through $120 per barrel on March 31st is currently 16% on Polymarket. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the forecast market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket "NBA Regular Season Spurs vs. Kings" prediction event, an account with nearly $2 million in winnings (address: 0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1) bet nearly $500,000 on the Spurs defeating the Kings, with an opening price of 89¢. The NBA regular season game between the Spurs and the Kings started at 10:00 AM Beijing time this morning. Currently in the second quarter, the score is 46-22, with the Spurs holding a significant lead and a 99% probability of winning. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before prices are set.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Polymarket official Mustafa (@mustafap0ly) posted on the official Discord that Polymarket will provide over $2 million in liquidity subsidies for NCAA March Madness-related games.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Regular Season Nuggets vs. 76ers" prediction event, an account with a winning percentage over 57% (address: 0xb58e6facae9b43c650c22d9821daa04b28f1d570) bet nearly $100,000 on the Nuggets defeating the 76ers, with an opening price of 91¢. The NBA regular season game between the Nuggets and the 76ers will start at 10:00 AM Beijing time this morning. The NBA regular season is currently nearing its end; the Nuggets have a record of 41 wins and 27 losses, ranking 5th in the Western Conference; the Wizards have a record of 16 wins and 50 losses, ranking 9th in the Eastern Conference. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "edgeX will TGE before March 31st" event has risen to 96%, with a 24-hour increase of 12%. This morning, Coinbase added EDGEX (EDGEX) to its listing roadmap. The listing of related assets depends on market-making support and the availability of technical infrastructure; a separate announcement will be made once these conditions are met. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Polymarket developer Suhail Kakar cited Dune data to report that Polymarket's weekly trading volume hit a record high last week, exceeding $2.1 billion.

According to Odaily Seer, an account with a win rate exceeding 75% (address: 0x0b9cae2b0dfe7a71c413e0604eaac1c352f87e44) has again bet $2.3 million on Atalanta Football Club failing to win the UEFA Champions League title in the Polymarket prediction event. This brings their total bets to $3.1 million, and the total trading volume for the "UEFA Champions League title" prediction event has exceeded $287 million. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket prediction event for the League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament Group Stage match between Gen.G and JDG, an account with a win rate exceeding 72% (address: 0x2c1d398213c859a61d06d2bec41ff6d319c555d0) again placed a $170,000 bet on Gen.G winning, with an opening price of 90¢. Currently, it holds approximately $300,000 in positions, with an average opening price of 90.1¢. Odaily Seer previously reported that this same address placed a $125,000 bet on Gen.G winning at 9:30 AM, with an opening price of 90.2¢. The League of Legends International Vanguard Tournament is the first international LOL tournament this year. Two group stage matches have already concluded, with BLG (defeating BFX) and G2 (defeating TSW) winning. The Gen.G vs. JDG match is scheduled for 9 PM on March 17th. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.