A recent Glassnode analysis has leveraged the URPD metric to identify the largest resistance level Dogecoin might face on its path to recovery.
The disclosure comes on the back of a rebound effort engineered by Dogecoin (DOGE) amid the broader market recovery that has seen
Bitcoin (BTC),
the leading crypto asset reclaim the $87,000 mark.
Particularly,
DOGE has ridden
on this upward push to secure four consecutive intraday gains, a new record this year. Notably, since Saturday, March 22, Dogecoin has increased by nearly 18%, soaring from $0.16 to trade around the $0.19 region at press time.
Major Dogecoin Resistance
Amid this bullish trend, Glassnode
called attention
to the $0.20 psychological resistance as the meme coin's largest roadblock on its recovery path. For context, Dogecoin gave up the $0.20 mark earlier this month amid a massive collapse from March 6 to 10.
According to Glassnode, the Dogecoin UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) points to a large supply wall at the $0.20 region, representing a zone where a massive whale volume exists. The analysis confirmed that the supply wall at $0.20 represents the third largest for DOGE, only behind the ones at $0.07 and $0.17.
Dogecoin URPD | Glassnode
Notably, Glassnode stressed that this large cluster formed with massive inflows at
the $0.20 mark
on Jan. 22, 2025, but an earlier accumulation might have occurred before this date, and this trend elevated the whales' cost basis. The analytical resource stressed that this area marks a major near-term resistance.
Notably, the $0.20 resistance came into play earlier today when DOGE attempted to break above. The asset soared to a two-week peak of $0.2058 this morning but immediately witnessed a pullback to the $0.19 level.
Interestingly, Glassnode
emphasized
that once the bulls overcome the resistance at $0.20, Dogecoin will likely face less resistance before $0.31. This is because the meme coin faces no major supply walls before this level, presenting a smooth sail higher on the recovery path once $0.20 gives way.
Meanwhile, Dogecoin's 3-6M HODL Wave has witnessed a gradual increase since March began, according to Glassnode. They stressed that this suggests most investors entered the market when Dogecoin recovered from $0.32 to $0.41 in January. This likely forms the next supply wall beyond $0.31.
https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/1904852044990513327
DOGE Holders Maintain Conviction Amid Healthy Recovery
Further, Glassnode
highlighted
a trend that might assist the bulls as they look to breach the $0.20 roadblock. Specifically, 15% of the Dogecoin supply has remained dormant for six to twelve months.
Dogecoin HODL Waves | Glassnode
According to Glassnode, the investors who hold this supply likely bought before the Q4 2024 upsurge. The fact that they still hold onto their bag confirms their confidence in Dogecoin.
In addition, the analytical firm pointed out two futures market metrics that indicate the ongoing recovery is healthy. For one, Futures Open Interest (OI) has dropped from the Q4 2024 average of $3 billion to the current figure of $1 billion. This shows that there are fewer leverage positions, confirming that the rally comes mostly from the spot market.
https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/1904852047565840509
Moreover, Dogecoin Funding Rates have
collapsed
in recent times, moving closer to the neutral level. This trend further confirms that the futures market is observing a drop in leveraged positions, especially longs. At press time, Dogecoin currently trades for $0.1959, up 13% in the past week.
Dogecoin Funding Rate | Glassnode
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