The FOCM interest rate meeting is coming tonight! (Includes the probability of a rate hike and corresponding strategies)

Our internal community has been preparing in advance. Those who want to profit from this bull-bear market should check my profile (QQ). Daily precise strategies, live trading, and a very high win rate are available. High commissions are also offered. At 49:50, the Senate procedural vote on the Clarity Act failed, causing BTC to briefly drop to $75,000. The stalled cryptocurrency regulatory legislation is putting pressure on ETH valuations. Tonight at 02:00, the FOMC decision is scheduled, with the market pricing in an 85%~90% probability of a 25bp rate hike, the first rate hike since 2023; the Walsh press conference will be at 02:30. Technically: ETH is currently trading at approximately 2,396 USDT, down 4.54% intraday. It stabilized after testing 2,356 from 2,499. Resistance is at 2,450~2,522 (short positions liquidated above 2,522, approximately $1.388 billion); support is at 2,356~2,400 (20-day moving average around 2,443); extreme support is at 2,286 (a break below this level would liquidate approximately $552 million in long positions). Strategy: • Scenario 1 (Highest Probability): 25bp rate hike with a neutral bias. Consider a small long position if the price retraces to 2,450-2,480 and stabilizes, with a stop-loss below 2,400 and a target of 2,580-2,600. • Scenario 2: Rate hike + hawkish dot plot. Avoid chasing the price higher at 2,396, near the lower resistance level of 2,410-2,430. Consider a small short position if the price rallies and encounters resistance, with a stop-loss above 2,470 and a target of 2,356-2,300. If the price dips to 2,243-2,300 and stabilizes, consider a medium-term long position. • Scenario 3: No rate hike (Extremely Low Probability). Or, the price may surge to 2,650-2,800. Be cautious about chasing the price higher and wait for a pullback before reassessing. Risk Warning: Liquidity is poor between 2:00 AM and 3:00 AM, with a high probability of sharp price spikes. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines and wait for the data release.