On Polymarket, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September rose to 52%, a 20% increase in a single week.

PPP forecasting market tool monitoring shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September has risen to 52% on Polymarket, a 20% increase in a single week. The market is currently focused on the US August non-farm payroll report, which will be released on Friday, September 4th. Strong data could further increase bets on a rate hike. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh previously stated at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that if the Fed cannot be confident that underlying inflation is falling "clearly and at a sufficiently fast pace" toward the 2% target, then a rate hike remains under consideration. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.