Gu Jingci: Focus on the dot plot of the interest rate decision at midnight on March 18th; Bitcoin/Ethereum fell in advance.

The interest rate decision was released at 2:00 AM, followed by Powell's speech at 2:30 AM. For details on the dot plot, please refer to the previous article for analysis. Bitcoin/Ethereum, after consolidating for over a day before the data release, experienced a pullback in the evening, breaking below the previous starting points of 2300 and around 73500, as well as the 4-hour moving average, indicating a clear weakening trend. This reflects market expectations that the data release was not ideal, suggesting further downside potential. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive large bearish candles after the initial surge, indicating that bears are in control and prices are falling rapidly. The daily chart shows a large bullish candle followed by a correction. The evening's pullback broke the uptrend, forming a strong bearish engulfing pattern, confirming the short-term downtrend. Technically, the 4-hour MACD has formed a death cross (DIF crossing below DEA, and the MACD histogram showing negative values and continuing to expand), indicating strong short-term downward momentum. Evening trading recommendations: Bitcoin: Continue shorting around 72500-73000, with a target of 70000-71000; Ethereum: Continue shorting around 2250-2270, with a target of 2150-2180, and if it breaks down, continue to look for 68500 and 2100.