Augur

Augur 是一个去中心化的开源预测市场平台和预言机服务。平台上的预测市场将使用户能够创建一个预测特定未来事件的市场，例如谁将赢得下一次选举或哪支球队将赢得世界杯。市场参与者将能够购买他们认为最有可能的特定结果的&ldquo;股份&rdquo;。在预定时间段结束时，检查结果，拥有正确结果份额的人将获得金钱奖励。预测市场可以成为跟踪结果真实情绪的有用工具，因为通常只有最了解情况的个人才会在进行预测时冒险。
Augur 预测市场工作原理
Augur 预测市场的工作流程可以分为四个部分；市场创建、交易、报告和结算。
市场创建
市场将由负责围绕事件设置参数的用户创建，例如市场的结束日期和指定的预言机或报告实体。一旦到达结束日期，指定的预言机将负责提供事件的结果，例如谁赢得了选举。这个指定的预言机不单方面决定市场的结果，可以由社区进行争议和纠正。创建者还必须选择一个解析源，例如&ldquo;bbc.com&rdquo;，并设置在交易结算时向市场创建者支付的创建者费用。此外，创作者必须在 REP 中发布有效保证金以激励创建明确定义的事件，并在未出现保证金中激励创建者选择可靠的记者。
交易
份额可以在创建时自由交易，市场参与者通过交易以 ETH 计价的那些可能结果的份额来预测事件的结果。这会导致价格波动，因为价格在市场创建和结算之间可能会发生剧烈变化，因此协议的 v2 引入了稳定币的使用。使用 Augur 匹配引擎，任何人都可以创建或填写现有订单。所有 Augur 资产&mdash;&mdash;包括市场结果中的份额、费用窗口代币、争议债券中的份额，甚至市场本身的所有权都可以随时转让。
报告
一旦事件发生，结果由 Augur 的预言机决定，这些预言机是受利润驱动的记者，被激励报告真实的现实世界结果。任何拥有 REP 代币的人都可以参与报告和争论结果。结果与共识一致的记者得到奖励，而结果不一致的记者受到惩罚。 
报告系统在 7 天的费用窗口内运行。在相应窗口期间收取的所有费用都会汇总并分发给在该窗口期间做出贡献的记者。报告者在费用窗口期间获得与抵押的 REP 数量成比例的奖励。为了激励每个费用窗口期间的持续参与，REP 持有者还可以购买参与代币，这些代币可兑换费用池的某个部分。 
当市场参与者使用市场合约结算交易时，结算预言家会征收创建者费用和报告者费用。这些费用与支付给各个用户的金额成正比。创建者费用在市场创建过程中设置，报告费用是动态设置的。
如果认为市场报告不正确（目前占所有代币的 2.5%）而押注足够的 REP 代币，则结算将中断。如果发生这种情况，系统会为不同的结果分成两个不同的宇宙。在此过程中，所有市场都将被冻结，直到争议得到解决。然后，REP 持有者被迫将他们的代币迁移到他们认为正确的结果，基本上是用他们的钱&ldquo;投票&rdquo;。人们相信市场会确定真正的结果，而生态系统中的开发商、服务提供商和其他参与者自然会继续以此为基础。

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Augur (REP) 简介

公募

Jack Peterson,PhD - 联合创始人&amp;首席开发员
Joey Krug - 联合创始人&amp;高级后端开发人员

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github

预测市场“老炮”亲述十年进化：从Augur的“创新剧场”到Polymarket的实用突破

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3. Trading Risks: Using the trading API involves market risks, including but not limited to price fluctuations and slippage. Leaders should independently assess market risks. Individual members should also independently assess market risks, and the platform bears no responsibility for losses caused by market fluctuations.

4. Technical Issues: The use of the trading API may be affected by technical issues, including but not limited to system failures and network interruptions. The platform is not responsible for losses resulting from technical issues.

5. API Key Protection: The order recipient must properly safeguard their API key and not share it with any third party. Any loss caused by the leakage of the API key shall be borne by the order recipient.

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