如何在币圈赚钱，UDB投资加密货币方法全网首度大公开（上）！！

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">彭博社表示，拜登的当选将使比特币受到更多主流人群的接受，包括可能使比特币ETF获得批准。此前我们多次分析指出，拜登上台将会带来更多的刺激方案，而今天就是拜登上任美国总统的第一天，加密货币之后会迎来什么样的走向，值得让人期待。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">授人与鱼，不如授人与渔，为了回馈一直支持U<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">DB<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">的读者，我们将公开<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">UDB<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">的选币与投资逻辑，告诉投资人应该如何跑赢市场，因内容过多，我们将分为《如何跑赢市场》分为上下两次发送，下面直接开始我们今天的精彩内容。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">长周期评级：增持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">短周期评级:<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""> <spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">比特币减持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">小市值加密货币减持<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">今日观点：<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">投资人必看：如何跑赢市场<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">牛市中赚钱不难，但投资人如果细心会发现，如果购买的一些资产滞涨，自己的投资组合很容易就会跑输比特币。U<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">DB<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">有一套自有的如何跑赢市场的选币逻辑，今日分享给大家。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

1. <spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">判断行业周期<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">区块链和所有的资本市场一样，都有最基本的牛市和熊市两个大周期。从基本面上来说，牛市通常是比特币4年一度的减半造成供应紧缺后启动牛市。当前整体区块链行业处于牛市当中，对于牛市何时终结，我们有多种指标协助进行判断。对牛市顶部的判断方法我们后续再进行分享。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">在牛市当中，永远只看多区块链资产，尽管区块链资产在牛市当中也会有很大的回调，DEFI在第一轮牛市周期后下跌了70%，比特币的回调幅度也基本可以达到30%。但我们提醒投资人，在牛市当中，很难判断资产会在何时回调，回调后的强劲反弹也可以快速抹除任何做空的利润。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">顺势而为，是帮助投资人赚钱的重要原则。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

2. <spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">判断板块轮动<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">在牛市当中，并不是说比特币涨多少，其他的币就多涨多少；比特币跌多少，其他币就多跌一些。当比特币领涨的时候，通常其他加密货币涨幅不及比特币，此时持有比特币以外的资产会造成投资人赚法币亏比特币，时间一长就会影响投资人的心态。当小市值加密货币领涨时，比特币通常缩量滞涨，这时只持有比特币则会失去赚取比特币的最佳机会。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">在这里，投资人需要对当前阶段应当是比特币领涨或是小市值加密货币领涨做出判断。判断时考虑两个核心指标，第一是比特币K线图，第二是比特币市值占比K线图。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">首先在比特币走势图上，当比特币强势上涨时，基本不会跌破主要趋势线，并且会不断向上突破通道上沿加速上行，当比特币向下跌破重要趋势线时，比特币的上涨可能就要告一段落。另外我们观察到在跌破趋势线后，比特币在高位仍然获得支撑，没有快速崩盘下跌，随后进行横盘整理。最后，整体的市场交易量下跌，代表了投资人的目光转向其他标的，等待比特币的洗盘突破。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">当比特币市值占比上升至重要阻力位时，我们预期投资人会选择将一些比特币兑换成其他滞涨的加密货币，以期赚取比特币。例如本次比特币市值占比一路上升至72%关口后，比特币出现滞涨，UDB团队就已经提醒投资人小市值加密货币行情已经开始。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">以上是对于小市值加密货币周期的判断，当比特币突破横盘整理，且比特币市值占比下跌至重要趋势线或横向阻力位时，则投资人会将涨幅不菲的小市值加密货币换回比特币，届时比特币将会领涨。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">另外，当小市值加密货币行情结束，但比特币没有能够向上突破时，我们会迎来板块整体回调的周期，此时持有稳定币将会保护大部分的利润。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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3. <spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">搜寻优质细分板块<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">当比特币滞涨，小市值加密货币周期来临的时候，我们需要去选择最优质的细分板块，例如去中心化金融、跨链、预言机、公链、DAO等等<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">这里我们要利用到TRADINGVIEW。有一些行业具备指数产品，例如去中心化金融板块有DEFIPREP指数，我们可以直接拿来使用；另外一些行业本身不具备指数产品的，我们需要自行定制指数。假设我们要定制跨链板块指数则需要输入（<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">DOTUSDT+ATOMUSDT+RENUSDT<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">）/3。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>

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<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">我们以DEFI指数为例，我们将DEFI指数除以BTCUSD得到一个比率趋势图。当这个图上涨时，意味着DEFI板块跑赢比特币，当下跌时，意味着比特币跑赢DEFI板块。从2020年9月1日到2021年1月2日区间，比特币一直跑赢DEFI板块，直到DEFI板块在1月10日突破下跌趋势线，并在1月11日进行确认后，我们可以预判DEFI指数相对于比特币将会加速上升。<spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times new="" roman';="" font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times></spanyes';font-family:等线;mso-bidi-font-family:'times>