【盈链】比特币反弹乏力，当前价位市场买盘无趣，下跌持续

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">昨天（周二）下午比特币反弹受阻于9000关口一带（最高9012）后，最低跌至8700，市场形成9012---8649的交投区间。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">比特币1小时K线周期<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">上，币价位于<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">下行趋势压力线下方是明显的偏空趋势<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">最近的压力由93<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">04<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">下移至9012。BTC于8649---9012的收敛整理区间缩窄为9012---8700；空间为300+，若币价击穿8700；<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">按收敛三角形的测市原则，跌破8649--8700区间后，<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">下行的空间应该在8400附近（8700-300）。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">昨天（周二）比特币一度延续了前一天（周一）的弱势反弹，但市场最终还是冲高回落。由于比特币日K线周期上行趋势线已经破坏，5、10、20日均线向下发散，昨天（周二）日K线十字中阴线收盘价仍位于5日均线下方，短期整体趋势上，币价仍在延续受阻于10000以来的下跌。昨天（周二）十字中阴线收盘，说明市场反弹乏力，日K线看空，下方支撑8618（永续报价）（火币现货8649），若币价失守8616支撑，下跌空间毫无疑问会进一步加大。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">8500至8150区间在4小时K线图上表现为长下影线，这意味着币价进去8500--8150区间后，下行动能会加速释放<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">之后，<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">下<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">行<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">动能减弱，币价可能会于8150上方的某个价位暂时止跌企稳<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">比特币日K线周期上周一的最低位8649（火币现货）/8616（永续报价）支撑位至8150（5月10日最低位）之间，目前中间没有可供参考的支撑位。由于比特币目前短期整体趋势偏空，如果后市币价失守8649支撑位后，市场虽然不会一步到位直接向8150<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">下探<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">，但失守8649支撑后市场可能<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">会<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">有的逢低买盘只能寄望于币价能在8150支撑位或上方的某个价位企稳，在8150附近或上方的价位等待市场止跌企稳后才会考虑行动<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">进场<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

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<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">如果币市没有特大的突发性消息事件，<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">单纯从技术面走势来看，<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"="">短期后市比特币大概率上会向8150上方震荡下跌逼近。而8150只是一次支撑位，市场直接有效击穿8150，大幅创下新低的概率不大，更大的可能性币价会于8150上方形成二次支撑，并出现反弹上涨至9300---9200区间，8150一带有可能会走出形成类似19年7、8月份9100中短期关键支撑位。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;></spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal; font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:1.0000pt;"=""> </spanyes';font-family:宋体;font-weight:normal;>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"="">备注：BTC分析数据来自tdex.com差价合约和火币现货<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""> <spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"="">以上分析只代表分析师个人观点，不作为入市交易的依据！<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""> </spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);>

<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"="">期货交易是加杠杆的高风险投机行为，任何小区间的反方向波动，在放大杠杆的交易下，都可能产生相当大的亏损甚至爆仓。在交易亏损中如何保命，更体现在风险控制和仓位管理上。成功的投资交易，需要分析预测、时机抉择、资金管理三者的相互配合，请广大币友们高度重视。<spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51); letter-spacing:0.0000pt;font-weight:normal;text-transform:none;="" font-style:normal;font-size:10.5000pt;mso-font-kerning:0.0000pt;"=""></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);></spanyes';font-family:宋体;color:rgb(51,51,51);>

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